David Njoku Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 14

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David Njoku

NFL · Player Props

David Njoku

TE · Cleveland Browns

Receptions

Cincinnati Bengals vs Cleveland Browns · Week 14, 2022

Updated Dec 12, 2022 1:06 AM EST

Analysis

David Njoku Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+148/-202).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -176 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -202.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Browns are a massive 7.5-point favorite in this week's game, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.
The Cleveland Browns have called the 5th-most plays in football this year, totaling a whopping 62.1 plays per game.
THE BLITZ projects David Njoku to accumulate 5.1 targets in this week's game, on average, putting him in the 88th percentile among tight ends.
David Njoku has been a much bigger part of his offense's pass attack this year (19.8% Target Share in games he has played) than he was last year (11.8%).
The Cleveland Browns O-line grades out as the 8th-best in the league this year in pass protection, which has a strong effect on all air attack statistics across the board.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns to be the 6th-least pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 52.8% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Browns to run the 7th-least plays on offense among all teams this week with 63.4 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Cincinnati Bengals linebackers rank as the 5th-best unit in the NFL this year in covering receivers.

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