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David Njoku

David Njoku Receptions
Player Prop Week 14

Cincinnati Bengals vs Cleveland Browns

David Njoku Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+148/-202).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -176 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -202.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Browns are a massive 7.5-point favorite in this week's game, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.

The Cleveland Browns have called the 5th-most plays in football this year, totaling a whopping 62.1 plays per game.

THE BLITZ projects David Njoku to accumulate 5.1 targets in this week's game, on average, putting him in the 88th percentile among tight ends.

David Njoku has been a much bigger part of his offense's pass attack this year (19.8% Target Share in games he has played) than he was last year (11.8%).

The Cleveland Browns O-line grades out as the 8th-best in the league this year in pass protection, which has a strong effect on all air attack statistics across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns to be the 6th-least pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 52.8% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

THE BLITZ projects the Browns to run the 7th-least plays on offense among all teams this week with 63.4 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

The Cincinnati Bengals linebackers rank as the 5th-best unit in the NFL this year in covering receivers.

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