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David Njoku

David Njoku Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 9

Cleveland Browns vs Los Angeles Chargers

 
 
 
David Njoku Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 52.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 53.5 @ -112 before it was bet down to 52.5 @ -114.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Cleveland Browns to pass on 62.6% of their plays: the 4th-greatest rate on the slate this week.
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is projected by the projection model to have 135.4 plays on offense called: the 2nd-most among all games this week.
  • The Browns have called the 4th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a staggering 60.9 plays per game.
  • The leading projections forecast David Njoku to garner 8.2 targets this week, on average, ranking him in the 97th percentile when it comes to tight ends.
  • David Njoku has notched a staggering 34.0 air yards per game this year: 87th percentile when it comes to TEs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • David Njoku's 36.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that weighs high-value offensive volume) has been notably worse this season than it was last season at 41.5.
  • The Browns offensive line grades out as the 6th-worst in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful impact on all pass game metrics across the board.
  • David Njoku's 46.0 adjusted receiving yards per game this season represents a material decline in his receiving proficiency over last season's 55.0 rate.
  • David Njoku's talent in generating extra yardage have declined this season, notching a mere 4.32 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a 7.33 mark last season.
  • The Chargers pass defense has exhibited strong efficiency vs. tight ends this year, surrendering 6.57 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 8th-fewest in football.

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