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David Njoku

David Njoku Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 8

Cleveland Browns vs Baltimore Ravens

David Njoku Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 54.5 (-134/+104).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 50.5 @ -117 before it was bet up to 54.5 @ -134.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Cleveland Browns will be starting backup QB Jameis Winston this week, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.

The Browns are a 5.5-point underdog this week, likely leading to a passing game script.

The leading projections forecast the Browns as the 6th-most pass-focused offense on the slate this week with a 61.6% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

Right now, the 7th-quickest paced offense in football (in a neutral context) according to the projections is the Cleveland Browns.

The Baltimore Ravens defense has been a prominent pass funnel this year, causing opposing QBs to attempt the 2nd-most passes in the league (41.1 per game) this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

David Njoku has put up significantly fewer air yards this year (26.0 per game) than he did last year (36.0 per game).

David Njoku's 36.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that measures high-value offensive volume) has been quite a bit worse this year than it was last year at 41.5.

The Cleveland Browns offensive line ranks as the 6th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful impact on all passing game metrics across the board.

David Njoku's 43.0 adjusted yards per game through the air this season represents a meaningful decline in his pass-catching talent over last season's 55.0 mark.

With a subpar 6.5 adjusted yards per target (25th percentile) this year, David Njoku places among the weakest TE receiving threats in football.

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