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David Njoku

David Njoku Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 13

Denver Broncos vs Cleveland Browns

David Njoku Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 48.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 48.5 @ -111 before it was bet down to 48.5 @ -114.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Browns are a 6.5-point underdog in this week's game, which points towards a passing game script.

Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Browns to pass on 64.1% of their downs: the 3rd-highest frequency on the slate this week.

The leading projections forecast this game to see the largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 138.3 plays, given the play styles of each team and game dynamics.

The Cleveland Browns have called the 2nd-most plays in the league this year, averaging a massive 61.4 plays per game.

The passing attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the calm weather conditions (3-mph wind) being called for in this game, while run volume may go down.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Cleveland Browns O-line profiles as the worst in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative effect on all passing game metrics across the board.

David Njoku has put up a lot fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (44.0) this season than he did last season (55.0).

David Njoku grades out as one of the least effective pass-catchers in football among tight ends, averaging a lowly 6.72 adjusted yards-per-target this year while checking in at the 18th percentile.

David Njoku's 4.55 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year conveys a material drop-off in his efficiency in picking up extra yardage over last year's 7.3% figure.

This year, the tough Broncos defense has given up a puny 40.0 adjusted receiving yards per game to opposing TEs: the 4th-best in football.

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