My Account Log Out

reorder

David Njoku

David Njoku Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 11

New Orleans Saints vs Cleveland Browns

David Njoku Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 50.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 52.5 @ -111 before it was bet down to 50.5 @ -114.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Cleveland Browns to pass on 61.8% of their opportunities: the 4th-greatest clip on the slate this week.

The predictive model expects this game to see the largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 136.9 plays, given the traits of each team and game dynamics.

The Cleveland Browns have run the 2nd-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a monstrous 62.1 plays per game.

The passing attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may fall-off.

Opposing offenses have averaged 36.6 pass attempts per game vs. the New Orleans Saints defense this year: 6th-most in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

David Njoku's 34.9 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that measures high-value offensive volume) has been quite a bit lower this year than it was last year at 41.5.

The Cleveland O-line grades out as the 8th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a negative impact on all pass attack statistics across the board.

David Njoku's 43.0 adjusted yards per game through the air this year shows an impressive diminishment in his pass-catching ability over last year's 55.0 mark.

David Njoku grades out as one of the least efficient pass-catchers in the league among tight ends, averaging a measly 6.61 adjusted yards-per-target this year while ranking in the 17th percentile.

David Njoku's 3.87 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year reflects a noteable decrease in his efficiency in picking up extra yardage over last year's 7.3% mark.

More David Njoku Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™