David Njoku Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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David Njoku

NFL · Player Props

David Njoku

TE · Cleveland Browns

Receiving Yards

Seattle Seahawks vs Cleveland Browns · Week 8, 2023

Updated Oct 29, 2023 8:02 PM UTC

Analysis

David Njoku Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 30.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 34.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 30.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Browns will be rolling with backup QB PJ Walker in this week's game, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.
A throwing game script is suggested by the Browns being a -3.5-point underdog in this week's contest.
Based on their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Browns are forecasted by the model to run 66.1 plays on offense in this contest: the 7th-most among all teams this week.
The 3rd-largest volume of plays in the NFL have been run by the Cleveland Browns this year (a staggering 65.7 per game on average).
The Seahawks defense has been a glaring pass funnel this year, leading opposing teams to attempt the 6th-most passes in the NFL (39.2 per game) this year.

Favors Under

Our trusted projections expect the Cleveland Browns as the 9th-least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 55.1% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
David Njoku has accrued far fewer air yards this season (18.0 per game) than he did last season (45.0 per game).
With a RATE1-RATE2 point decline in WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that examines high-value offensive usage) from last year to this one, David Njoku has been incorporated much less in his offense's passing offense.
David Njoku's 35.0 adjusted receiving yards per game this season conveys an impressive diminishment in his pass-catching ability over last season's 50.0 mark.
David Njoku's pass-game effectiveness has tailed off this season, accumulating a measly 6.97 adjusted yards-per-target compared to a 8.91 rate last season.

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