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David Njoku

David Njoku Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 6

Cleveland Browns vs San Francisco 49ers

 
 
 
David Njoku Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 21.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 22.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Browns may take to the air less in this game (and call more carries) since they be rolling with backup quarterback PJ Walker.
  • A passing game script is suggested by the Browns being a -6.5-point underdog this week.
  • The 2nd-most plays in the league have been called by the Browns this year (a whopping 66.2 per game on average).
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 40.8 pass attempts per game vs. the San Francisco 49ers defense this year: 4th-most in football.
  • In this contest, David Njoku is predicted by the model to land in the 81st percentile among tight ends with 5.0 targets.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Right now, the 9th-least pass-centric team in the league (58.2% context-neutralized) according to the projections is the Browns.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Browns to call the fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 61.6 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • Windy weather conditions (like the 15-mph being projected in this game) typically cause decreased passing efficiency, lower pass volume, and increased rush volume.
  • David Njoku's 14.4% Target Share this year illustrates a a substantial diminishment in his passing attack volume over last year's 20.3% figure.
  • David Njoku has compiled significantly fewer air yards this season (14.0 per game) than he did last season (45.0 per game).

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