David Njoku Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 3

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David Njoku

NFL · Player Props

David Njoku

TE · Cleveland Browns

Receiving Yards

Cleveland Browns vs Tennessee Titans · Week 3, 2023

Updated Sep 24, 2023 11:31 PM UTC

Analysis

David Njoku Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 29.5 (-134/+102).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 31.5 @ -113 before it was bet down to 29.5 @ +102.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Cleveland Browns have called the 4th-most plays in the league since the start of last season, totaling a whopping 62.0 plays per game.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 39.9 pass attempts per game against the Tennessee Titans defense since the start of last season: most in football.
THE BLITZ projects David Njoku to earn 4.5 targets in this week's contest, on average, putting him in the 80th percentile among tight ends.
David Njoku has been a big part of his team's passing offense, earning a Target Share of 19.1% since the start of last season, which places him in the 94th percentile among tight ends.
David Njoku has put up a colossal 40.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 92nd percentile among TEs.

Favors Under

The Browns are a 3.5-point favorite in this game, likely creating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns as the 3rd-least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 52.9% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the smallest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 122.5 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The weatherman calls for 14-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing effectiveness.

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