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David Njoku

David Njoku Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 16

Houston Texans vs Cleveland Browns

 
 
 
David Njoku Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 50.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 49.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 50.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The model projects the Browns to be the 9th-most pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 60.5% pass rate, based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
  • Based on their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Cleveland Browns are anticipated by the predictive model to call 68.2 total plays in this contest: the 4th-most among all teams this week.
  • The highest number of plays in football have been called by the Cleveland Browns this year (a massive 65.8 per game on average).
  • The air attacks of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (i.e. zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may go down.
  • In this week's game, David Njoku is forecasted by the predictive model to finish in the 97th percentile among TEs with 8.5 targets.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • A rushing game script is implied by the Browns being a 3-point favorite in this game.
  • David Njoku has accumulated significantly fewer air yards this season (33.0 per game) than he did last season (45.0 per game).
  • David Njoku's 67.2% Adjusted Completion% this year shows an impressive decline in his receiving proficiency over last year's 77.2% rate.
  • David Njoku's 6.9 adjusted yards per target this season indicates an impressive drop-off in his receiving ability over last season's 8.9 figure.
  • The Texans pass defense has excelled when opposing TEs have gotten into space, yielding an average of 4.08 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 7th-fewest in the NFL.

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