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David Njoku

David Njoku Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 15

Cleveland Browns vs Chicago Bears

 
 
 
David Njoku Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 42.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 40.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 42.5 @ -114.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Based on their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Cleveland Browns are predicted by our trusted projection set to call 66.2 offensive plays in this contest: the 6th-highest number among all teams this week.
  • The highest number of plays in the NFL have been called by the Browns this year (a colossal 66.2 per game on average).
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 39.5 pass attempts per game against the Bears defense this year: 3rd-most in the league.
  • The leading projections forecast David Njoku to notch 6.6 targets in this contest, on average, placing him in the 95th percentile when it comes to tight ends.
  • David Njoku has been a key part of his team's pass game, earning a Target Share of 20.7% this year, which ranks him in the 95th percentile when it comes to tight ends.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Browns to pass on 55.5% of their chances: the 9th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.
  • The forecast calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and increased run volume) and lessened passing efficiency.
  • After totaling 45.0 air yards per game last year, David Njoku has significantly declined this year, currently averaging 29.0 per game.
  • David Njoku's 66.0% Adjusted Catch Rate this year marks a remarkable regression in his receiving talent over last year's 77.2% figure.
  • David Njoku's receiving efficiency has diminished this year, totaling a measly 6.65 adjusted yards-per-target vs a 8.91 mark last year.

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