David Njoku Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 1

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David Njoku

NFL · Player Props

David Njoku

TE · Cleveland Browns

Receiving Yards

Cleveland Browns vs Cincinnati Bengals · Week 1, 2023

Updated Sep 10, 2023 5:06 PM UTC

Analysis

David Njoku Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 37.5 (-123/-111).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 36.5 @ -117 before it was bet up to 37.5 @ -123.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Cleveland Browns have called the 6th-most plays in the league since the start of last season, averaging a colossal 60.9 plays per game.
THE BLITZ projects David Njoku to accumulate 5.0 targets in this game, on average, ranking in the 88th percentile among tight ends.
David Njoku has been an integral part of his team's passing attack, garnering a Target Share of 20.4% since the start of last season, which places him in the 97th percentile among tight ends.
David Njoku has totaled a whopping 45.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 93rd percentile among tight ends.
The Cleveland Browns O-line grades out as the 4th-best in the league since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a strong impact on all passing offense statistics across the board.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns as the 8th-least pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 55.4% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Browns to call the 3rd-least offensive plays on the slate this week with 61.8 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Cincinnati Bengals defense has conceded the 3rd-least receiving yards per game in football (just 35.0) vs. tight ends since the start of last season.
The Cincinnati Bengals linebackers grade out as the 2nd-best LB corps in football since the start of last season in covering pass-catchers.

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