David Njoku Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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David Njoku

NFL · Player Props

David Njoku

TE · Cleveland Browns

Receiving Yards

Cleveland Browns vs New England Patriots · Week 6, 2022

Updated Oct 16, 2022 11:51 PM UTC

Analysis

David Njoku Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 36.5 (-110/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Cleveland Browns have called the 4th-most plays in football this year, averaging a colossal 65.0 plays per game.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 38.0 pass attempts per game against the New England Patriots defense this year: 9th-most in the NFL.
David Njoku has been less involved as a potential pass-catcher this season (80.9% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last season (54.1%).
THE BLITZ projects David Njoku to accumulate 5.6 targets in this contest, on average, ranking in the 90th percentile among tight ends.
David Njoku has accumulated a monstrous 36.0 air yards per game this year: 90th percentile among TEs.

Favors Under

The Browns are a 3-point favorite in this week's game, indicating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns to be the 2nd-least pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 49.9% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 3rd-lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 126.6 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The weather report calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and worse passing effectiveness.
The New England Patriots defense has surrendered the 2nd-least receiving yards per game in the NFL (just 25.0) to TEs this year.

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