David Njoku Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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David Njoku

NFL · Player Props

David Njoku

TE · Cleveland Browns

Receiving Yards

Cleveland Browns vs Baltimore Ravens · Week 15, 2022

Updated Dec 18, 2022 1:01 AM UTC

Analysis

David Njoku Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 39.5 (+101/-131).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 39.5 @ -127 before it was bet down to 39.5 @ -131.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Cleveland Browns have called the 5th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a whopping 62.5 plays per game.
THE BLITZ projects David Njoku to accrue 5.5 targets in this week's contest, on average, putting him in the 91st percentile among tight ends.
David Njoku has been a more integral piece of his team's passing game this year (20.1% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last year (11.8%).
David Njoku has put up many more air yards this season (50.0 per game) than he did last season (31.0 per game).
The Cleveland Browns O-line grades out as the 6th-best in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive effect on all passing game metrics across the board.

Favors Under

The Browns are a 3-point favorite in this week's game, likely leading to a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns as the 7th-least pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 51.1% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Browns to call the 3rd-least offensive plays among all teams this week with 62.2 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The weatherman calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and lessened passing effectiveness.
David Njoku's ability to grind out extra yardage has diminished this year, accumulating a mere 5.60 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a 6.64 mark last year.

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