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David Njoku

David Njoku Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 15

Cleveland Browns vs Baltimore Ravens

 
 
 
David Njoku Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 39.5 (+101/-131).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 39.5 @ -127 before it was bet down to 39.5 @ -131.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Cleveland Browns have called the 5th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a whopping 62.5 plays per game.
  • THE BLITZ projects David Njoku to accrue 5.5 targets in this week's contest, on average, putting him in the 91st percentile among tight ends.
  • David Njoku has been a more integral piece of his team's passing game this year (20.1% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last year (11.8%).
  • David Njoku has put up many more air yards this season (50.0 per game) than he did last season (31.0 per game).
  • The Cleveland Browns O-line grades out as the 6th-best in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive effect on all passing game metrics across the board.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Browns are a 3-point favorite in this week's game, likely leading to a rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns as the 7th-least pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 51.1% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Browns to call the 3rd-least offensive plays among all teams this week with 62.2 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The weatherman calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and lessened passing effectiveness.
  • David Njoku's ability to grind out extra yardage has diminished this year, accumulating a mere 5.60 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a 6.64 mark last year.

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