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David Montgomery

David Montgomery Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 6

Dallas Cowboys vs Detroit Lions

David Montgomery Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 58.5 (-148/+108).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 59.5 @ -117 before it was bet down to 58.5 @ +108.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The leading projections forecast the Lions to run the 2nd-most total plays among all teams this week with 67.0 plays, based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics.

The 10th-largest volume of plays in the NFL have been called by the Detroit Lions this year (a whopping 59.8 per game on average).

Out of all running backs, David Montgomery ranks in the 81st percentile for carries this year, accounting for 50.0% of the workload in his team's run game.

With a stellar tally of 73.0 adjusted rushing yards per game (86th percentile), David Montgomery places among the leading RBs in the league this year.

Opposing offenses have run for the 8th-most adjusted yards in the league (135 per game) versus the Dallas Cowboys defense this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Detroit Lions to run on 40.6% of their downs: the 8th-lowest rate among all teams this week.

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.

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