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David Montgomery

David Montgomery Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 20

Detroit Lions vs Washington Commanders

David Montgomery Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 50.5 (-125/-103).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 46.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 50.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

An extreme rushing game script is suggested by the Lions being a big 8.5-point favorite this week.

Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is anticipated by the predictive model to have only 129.7 offensive plays called: the 2nd-fewest among all games this week.

The Detroit Lions have called the 6th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a massive 59.6 plays per game.

David Montgomery has garnered 46.5% of his team's rushing play calls this year, putting him in the 81st percentile among RBs.

David Montgomery's running effectiveness (4.70 adjusted yards per carry) has been some of the best in the league this year (78th percentile when it comes to RBs).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The air attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (i.e. zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may go down.

David Montgomery's 62.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this year illustrates a noteable decline in his rushing talent over last year's 77.0 figure.

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