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David Montgomery

David Montgomery Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 14

Detroit Lions vs Green Bay Packers

David Montgomery Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 60.5 (-108/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 59.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 60.5 @ -108.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

A rushing game script is implied by the Lions being a 3-point favorite in this week's game.

The projections expect the Detroit Lions to run the 6th-most total plays among all teams this week with 66.7 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics.

Among all running backs, David Montgomery grades out in the 82nd percentile for carries this year, comprising 47.7% of the workload in his team's run game.

The Green Bay Packers defensive tackles profile as the 8th-worst DT corps in the league this year when it comes to run defense.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.

David Montgomery's 67.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this year signifies a significant diminishment in his running prowess over last year's 77.0 rate.

This year, the shaky Packers run defense has conceded a staggering 4.35 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC) to the opposition's ground game: the 25th-highest rate in football.

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