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David Montgomery

David Montgomery Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 12

Indianapolis Colts vs Detroit Lions

David Montgomery Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 60.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 57.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 60.5 @ -114.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

An extreme rushing game script is indicated by the Lions being a huge 7-point favorite this week.

Accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Lions are anticipated by the projections to call 66.4 total plays in this game: the 6th-most on the slate this week.

Out of all running backs, David Montgomery grades out in the 83rd percentile for rush attempts this year, comprising 47.3% of the workload in his team's running game.

David Montgomery's rushing effectiveness (4.84 adjusted yards per carry) has been some of the best in football this year (78th percentile when it comes to running backs).

This year, the poor Colts run defense has surrendered a massive 139.0 adjusted rushing yards per game to opposing teams: the 7th-worst in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Lions have called the 8th-fewest plays in football this year, averaging a mere 55.9 plays per game.

This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

David Montgomery's 66.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this season signifies a significant decrease in his running prowess over last season's 77.0 mark.

As it relates to the defensive tackles' role in defending against the run, Indianapolis's group of DTs has been one of the most skilled this year, ranking as the 8th-best in the NFL.

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