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David Montgomery

David Montgomery Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 10

Houston Texans vs Detroit Lions

David Montgomery Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 59.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 57.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 59.5 @ -114.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This game's spread implies a rushing game script for the Lions, who are favored by 3.5 points.

The model projects the Lions to be the 9th-most run-heavy team in the league (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 41.1% run rate.

The model projects the Lions to run the 8th-most total plays on the slate this week with 65.1 plays, given their underlying propensities and game dynamics.

In this contest, David Montgomery is predicted by our trusted projection set to secure a spot in the 75th percentile when it comes to RBs with 13.4 rush attempts.

David Montgomery has received 49.0% of his offense's rushing play calls this year, placing him in the 84th percentile among RBs.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The 8th-lowest number of plays in football have been called by the Lions this year (just 54.8 per game on average).

David Montgomery's 67.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this season conveys a remarkable decline in his running ability over last season's 77.0 rate.

This year, the stout Houston Texans run defense has given up a puny 109.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground to opposing squads: the 10th-fewest in the NFL.

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