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David Montgomery

David Montgomery Rushing TD
Player Prop Week 8

Dallas Cowboys vs Chicago Bears

 
 
 
David Montgomery Rushing TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+228/-357).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -289 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -357.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Chicago Bears to be the 2nd-most run-centric team in football near the end zone (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 50.2% red zone run rate.
  • David Montgomery has earned 41.7% of his offense's red zone rush attempts this year, placing him in the 77th percentile among running backs.
  • The Chicago Bears O-line profiles as the 7th-best in the league this year at blocking for rushers.
  • David Montgomery has rushed for 0.33 touchdowns per game on the ground this year (on average), one of the largest marks in the league among RBs (78th percentile).
  • The Dallas Cowboys defensive tackles profile as the 6th-worst group of DTs in the league this year in regard to stopping the run.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Bears are a big 9.5-point underdog in this game, likely leading to an extreme passing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Chicago Bears offense to be the 4th-slowest paced team in the NFL (adjusted for context) right now, averaging 29.62 seconds per snap.
  • Opposing offenses have run for the 2nd-least TDs in the NFL (0.29 per game) vs. the Dallas Cowboys defense this year.

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