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David Montgomery

David Montgomery Receptions
Player Prop Week 6

Dallas Cowboys vs Detroit Lions

David Montgomery Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Our trusted projections expect the Detroit Lions to be the 8th-most pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 59.4% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

The leading projections forecast the Lions to run the 2nd-most total plays among all teams this week with 67.0 plays, based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics.

The 10th-largest volume of plays in the NFL have been called by the Detroit Lions this year (a whopping 59.8 per game on average).

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.

As it relates to pass-blocking (and the strong effect it has on all passing game metrics), the O-line of the Lions grades out as the 9th-best in the league this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Opposing QBs teams have been hesitant to test the pass defense of the Cowboys, averaging the 8th-fewest attempts in football (just 30.8 per game) this year.

The Dallas Cowboys pass defense has given up the 3rd-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the league (75.7%) to running backs since the start of last season (75.7%).

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