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David Montgomery

David Montgomery Receptions
Player Prop Week 2

Detroit Lions vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

David Montgomery Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+112/-154).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -139 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -154.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The model projects the Detroit Lions to call the 6th-most total plays among all teams this week with 66.5 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

The 7th-most plays in the NFL have been called by the Detroit Lions since the start of last season (a massive 60.2 per game on average).

This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense has been a notorious pass funnel since the start of last season, eliciting opposing teams to attempt the 5th-most passes in the NFL (36.2 per game) since the start of last season.

Since the start of last season, the deficient Tampa Bay Buccaneers pass defense has allowed a massive 85.1% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing RBs: the 7th-biggest rate in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

A running game script is indicated by the Lions being a 6-point favorite in this game.

With a bad 71.1% Adjusted Completion% (18th percentile) since the start of last season, David Montgomery has been as one of the most hard-handed receivers in the NFL among running backs.

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers safeties project as the best safety corps in the NFL since the start of last season in regard to rushing the passer.

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