My Account Log Out

reorder

David Montgomery

David Montgomery Receptions
Player Prop Week 15

Detroit Lions vs Buffalo Bills

David Montgomery Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-109/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +126 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -109.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The 10th-largest volume of plays in football have been run by the Detroit Lions this year (a massive 58.8 per game on average).

This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

David Montgomery's 13.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that quantifies high-value offensive volume) has been notably better this year than it was last year at 7.4.

David Montgomery's pass-catching performance gotten a boost this year, averaging 2.5 adjusted catches compared to a measly 1.1 last year.

David Montgomery's 97.1% Adjusted Catch% this year conveys a material improvement in his pass-catching skills over last year's 69.7% mark.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Lions rank as the 10th-least pass-heavy offense in the NFL (adjusted for context) this year with a 58.6% pass rate.

Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is anticipated by the projections to have only 126.1 total plays called: the 2nd-lowest number out of all the games this week.

This year, the tough Bills defense has surrendered a measly 78.1% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing RBs: the 4th-best rate in football.

More David Montgomery Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™