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David Montgomery

David Montgomery Receptions
Player Prop Week 12

Indianapolis Colts vs Detroit Lions

David Montgomery Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-140/+108).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ +120 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ +108.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Lions are anticipated by the projections to call 66.4 total plays in this game: the 6th-most on the slate this week.

This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

David Montgomery's 12.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially higher this season than it was last season at 7.4.

David Montgomery's receiving performance has been refined this year, notching 2.1 adjusted receptions compared to a mere 1.1 last year.

David Montgomery's 95.7% Adjusted Completion Rate this year represents a remarkable boost in his receiving skills over last year's 69.7% rate.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

An extreme rushing game script is indicated by the Lions being a huge 7-point favorite this week.

The Lions have called the 8th-fewest plays in football this year, averaging a mere 55.9 plays per game.

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