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David Montgomery

David Montgomery Receptions
Player Prop Week 6

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Detroit Lions

David Montgomery Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-140/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -135 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -140.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Our trusted projections expect the Lions to run the 8th-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 64.4 plays, accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 38.5 pass attempts per game against the Buccaneers defense this year: 7th-most in football.

The projections expect David Montgomery to garner 3.5 targets in this week's contest, on average, putting him in the 88th percentile when it comes to RBs.

As it relates to pass protection (and the strong effect it has on all passing game stats), the O-line of the Detroit Lions grades out as the 2nd-best in the NFL this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

A rushing game script is suggested by the Lions being a 3-point favorite in this week's game.

Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Lions to pass on 54.7% of their plays: the 6th-lowest rate among all teams this week.

David Montgomery's 7.0% Target% this season indicates a a noteworthy regression in his passing attack volume over last season's 12.1% figure.

David Montgomery's ball-catching skills have diminished this season, with his Adjusted Completion Rate shrinking from 88.0% to 62.0%.

This year, the strong Buccaneers defense has conceded a feeble 75.8% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing running backs: the 8th-lowest rate in the league.

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