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David Montgomery

David Montgomery Receptions
Player Prop Week 17

Dallas Cowboys vs Detroit Lions

David Montgomery Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

A throwing game script is indicated by the Lions being a -4.5-point underdog in this game.

The leading projections forecast the Lions to be the 5th-most pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 61.6% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

The leading projections forecast the Lions to call the 8th-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 65.9 plays, given their underlying play style and game dynamics.

The 4th-most plays in football have been run by the Detroit Lions this year (a colossal 61.0 per game on average).

The pass attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (meaning no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may fall-off.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Opposing teams have averaged 30.9 pass attempts per game versus the Cowboys defense this year: 2nd-fewest in the NFL.

David Montgomery's 5.5% Target% this year marks an impressive drop-off in his pass attack usage over last year's 12.1% rate.

David Montgomery's 73.4% Adjusted Catch% this season represents a meaningful drop-off in his pass-catching skills over last season's 88.0% mark.

This year, the stout Cowboys defense has allowed a measly 76.7% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing RBs: the 8th-best rate in the NFL.

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