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David Montgomery

David Montgomery Receptions
Player Prop Week 15

Detroit Lions vs Denver Broncos

David Montgomery Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+115/-145).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Lions have called the 8th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a colossal 60.6 plays per game.

This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.

The Detroit O-line grades out as the 4th-best in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive impact on all air attack stats across the board.

The Broncos linebackers profile as the worst collection of LBs in the league this year in pass coverage.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Lions are a 4.5-point favorite this week, indicating a running game script.

The leading projections forecast the Lions to be the 7th-least pass-oriented team in football (in a neutral context) right now with a 58.5% pass rate.

The projections expect this game to have the 2nd-smallest number of plays run on the slate this week at 124.1 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

David Montgomery's 32.2% Route% this year illustrates a significant decline in his passing game volume over last year's 56.7% mark.

David Montgomery's sure-handedness have tailed off this season, with his Adjusted Completion Rate decreasing from 88.0% to 73.1%.

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