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David Montgomery
NFL · Player Props
David Montgomery
RB · Detroit Lions
Receptions
Detroit Lions vs Green Bay Packers · Week 12, 2023 Updated Nov 24, 2023 4:01 AM UTC
NFL Props David Montgomery Receptions

David Montgomery Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+140/-180).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +160 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +140.

Favors Over
  • The 6th-highest number of plays in football have been run by the Lions this year (a massive 60.9 per game on average).
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • When it comes to pocket protection (and the strong effect it has on all pass game statistics), the offensive line of the Detroit Lions ranks as the 2nd-best in football this year.
  • When it comes to safeties in pass coverage, Green Bay's unit has been very bad this year, grading out as the 9th-worst in football.
Favors Under
  • An extreme rushing game script is indicated by the Lions being a giant 8.5-point favorite in this week's contest.
  • Our trusted projections expect this game to have the 5th-fewest plays run on the slate this week at 127.4 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • Opposing offenses teams have been afraid to test the pass defense of the Green Bay Packers, totaling the 7th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a measly 33.4 per game) this year.
  • David Montgomery has been used less as a potential target this year (36.4% Route% in games he has played) than he did last year (56.7%).
  • David Montgomery's 1.1 adjusted catches per game this year indicates a remarkable decline in his pass-catching skills over last year's 2.1 mark.
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