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David Montgomery
NFL · Player Props
David Montgomery
RB · Chicago Bears
Receptions
Chicago Bears vs Washington Commanders · Week 6, 2022 Updated Oct 13, 2022 11:16 PM UTC
NFL Props David Montgomery Receptions

David Montgomery Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+130/-175).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -160 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -175.

Favors Over
  • THE BLITZ projects David Montgomery to garner 3.7 targets in this game, on average, ranking in the 85th percentile among running backs.
  • David Montgomery has been a big part of his team's passing offense, garnering a Target Share of 13.1% since the start of last season, which ranks him in the 94th percentile among RBs.
  • David Montgomery's receiving reliability have gotten a boost this season, with his Completion% increasing from 86.8% to 89.8%.
  • The Chicago Bears O-line has allowed their QB 2.51 seconds before getting pressured (10th-best in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a positive impact on all passing offense stats across the board.
  • The Chicago Bears have gone for it on 4th down 27.3% of the time since the start of last season (3rd-most in the NFL), which generally means more offensive volume, more TD potential, and higher offensive metrics across the board.
Favors Under
  • The Chicago Bears boast a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Luke Getsy, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 5.1% more towards rushing than it did last season (adjusted for context).
  • THE BLITZ projects the Chicago Bears as the least pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 45.6% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 4th-smallest volume of plays run among all games this week at 127.6 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Chicago Bears have called the least plays in the NFL this year, totaling a lowly 49.2 plays per game.
  • The Chicago Bears O-line grades out as the 4th-worst in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative effect on all passing game metrics across the board.
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