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David Montgomery
NFL · Player Props
David Montgomery
RB · Chicago Bears
Receptions
Chicago Bears vs Philadelphia Eagles · Week 15, 2022 Updated Dec 19, 2022 12:11 AM UTC
NFL Props David Montgomery Receptions

David Montgomery Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+142/-184).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -188 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -184.

Favors Over
  • The Bears are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's contest, likely leading to a passing game script.
  • David Montgomery has run a route on 59.7% of his team's passing plays this year, putting him in the 96th percentile among RBs.
  • THE BLITZ projects David Montgomery to garner 3.5 targets this week, on average, placing him in the 79th percentile among running backs.
  • The Philadelphia Eagles safeties profile as the 4th-worst unit in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.
  • The Chicago Bears O-line has afforded their QB 2.51 seconds before getting pressured (10th-best in the league since the start of last season), which has a strong impact on all passing attack statistics across the board.
Favors Under
  • The Chicago Bears boast a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Luke Getsy, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to tilt 7.5% more towards rushing than it did last season (in a neutral context).
  • THE BLITZ projects the Chicago Bears to be the least pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 43.6% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Chicago Bears offense as the 6th-slowest paced team in the league (in a neutral context) at the moment, averaging 29.42 seconds per play.
  • The weather report calls for 14-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and worse passing efficiency.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 34.2 pass attempts per game versus the Philadelphia Eagles defense this year: 9th-least in football.
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