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David Montgomery

David Montgomery Receptions
Player Prop Week 1

Chicago Bears vs San Francisco 49ers

 
 
 
David Montgomery Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+116/-148).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Bears are a 6.5-point underdog in this week's game, which points towards a passing game script.
  • David Montgomery has run a route on 57.3% of his offense's passing plays since the start of last season, placing him in the 93rd percentile among RBs.
  • THE BLITZ projects David Montgomery to notch 3.4 targets this week, on average, ranking him in the 84th percentile among RBs.
  • David Montgomery has been among the top pass-catching running backs since the start of last season, averaging a terrific 3.3 receptions per game while grading out in the 92nd percentile.
  • David Montgomery has been among the most sure-handed receivers in the league among RBs, catching a stellar 86.7% of passes thrown his way since the start of last season, grading out in the 84th percentile.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Chicago Bears as the 5th-least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 53.6% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Bears to run the 2nd-least offensive plays among all teams this week with 58.9 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 31.1 pass attempts per game against the San Francisco 49ers defense since the start of last season: 5th-least in football.
  • The San Francisco 49ers linebackers project as the 3rd-best unit in football since the start of last season in covering receivers.
  • The Chicago Bears have faced a stacked the box on a measly 14.2% of their plays since the start of last season, 10th-least in the league. Bringing an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

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