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David Montgomery

David Montgomery Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 6

Dallas Cowboys vs Detroit Lions

 
 
 
David Montgomery Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Our trusted projections expect the Detroit Lions to be the 8th-most pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 59.4% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
  • The leading projections forecast the Lions to run the 2nd-most total plays among all teams this week with 67.0 plays, based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
  • The 10th-largest volume of plays in the NFL have been called by the Detroit Lions this year (a whopping 59.8 per game on average).
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • In regards to air yards, David Montgomery ranks in the towering 75th percentile among RBs this year, accumulating a superb 0.0 per game. (considering most of their targets come behind the line of scrimmage, that is far more notable than it appears since most RBs average negative air yards).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Opposing QBs teams have been hesitant to test the pass defense of the Cowboys, averaging the 8th-fewest attempts in football (just 30.8 per game) this year.
  • The Dallas Cowboys pass defense has given up the 3rd-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the league (75.7%) to running backs since the start of last season (75.7%).

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