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David Montgomery

David Montgomery Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 20

Detroit Lions vs Washington Commanders

David Montgomery Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-114/-114).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is anticipated by the predictive model to have only 129.7 offensive plays called: the 2nd-fewest among all games this week.

The Detroit Lions have called the 6th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a massive 59.6 plays per game.

The air attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (i.e. zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may go down.

The projections expect David Montgomery to accumulate 2.7 targets in this game, on balance, ranking him in the 82nd percentile among RBs.

David Montgomery's 12.9 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that calculates high-value offensive usage) has been significantly higher this year than it was last year at 6.9.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

An extreme rushing game script is suggested by the Lions being a big 8.5-point favorite this week.

Opposing QBs have averaged 27.3 pass attempts per game vs. the Commanders defense this year: fewest in the league.

David Montgomery has posted a meager -2.0 air yards per game this year: a lowly 17th percentile when it comes to running backs.

This year, the fierce Washington Commanders defense has conceded a feeble 20.0 adjusted receiving yards per game to opposing RBs: the best in the league.

As it relates to linebackers in defending pass-catchers, Washington's unit has been tremendous this year, projecting as the 4th-best in the NFL.

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