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David Montgomery

David Montgomery Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 14

Detroit Lions vs Green Bay Packers

David Montgomery Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -111 before it was bet up to 19.5 @ -114.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The projections expect the Detroit Lions to run the 6th-most total plays among all teams this week with 66.7 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics.

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.

David Montgomery's 12.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that calculates high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly better this season than it was last season at 7.4.

David Montgomery's 22.0 adjusted yards per game through the air this season marks a meaningful boost in his pass-catching ability over last season's 8.0 rate.

David Montgomery's 96.5% Adjusted Catch% this season indicates a substantial improvement in his pass-catching prowess over last season's 69.7% rate.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

A rushing game script is implied by the Lions being a 3-point favorite in this week's game.

This year, the imposing Green Bay Packers defense has surrendered a measly 81.1% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing RBs: the 10th-smallest rate in the NFL.

The Green Bay Packers safeties grade out as the 2nd-best group of safeties in the NFL this year in covering receivers.

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