My Account Log Out

reorder

David Montgomery

David Montgomery Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 13

Detroit Lions vs Chicago Bears

David Montgomery Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -116 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -114.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The pass games of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may slide.

David Montgomery's 12.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that assesses high-value offensive usage) has been notably better this season than it was last season at 7.4.

David Montgomery's 21.0 adjusted yards per game through the air this season conveys a material gain in his pass-catching talent over last season's 8.0 rate.

David Montgomery's sure-handedness have gotten a boost this season, with his Adjusted Completion Rate increasing from 69.7% to 96.1%.

David Montgomery's pass-catching effectiveness has improved this season, accumulating 9.26 adjusted yards-per-target compared to just 4.99 figure last season.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 9.5-point advantage, the Lions are a huge favorite in this week's game, indicating much more of a focus on running than their usual game plan.

Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Lions to pass on 55.6% of their opportunities: the 8th-lowest rate on the slate this week.

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is projected by the projection model to see only 127.5 offensive plays called: the 5th-fewest among all games this week.

Opposing quarterbacks teams have been hesitant to test the pass defense of the Chicago Bears, averaging the 9th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a lowly 32.6 per game) this year.

The Bears pass defense has displayed strong efficiency against RBs this year, conceding 5.91 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 9th-fewest in the NFL.

More David Montgomery Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™