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David Montgomery

David Montgomery Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 12

Indianapolis Colts vs Detroit Lions

David Montgomery Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Lions are anticipated by the projections to call 66.4 total plays in this game: the 6th-most on the slate this week.

This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

David Montgomery's 12.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially higher this season than it was last season at 7.4.

David Montgomery's 20.0 adjusted yards per game through the air this season illustrates a material growth in his receiving talent over last season's 8.0 mark.

David Montgomery's 95.7% Adjusted Completion Rate this year represents a remarkable boost in his receiving skills over last year's 69.7% rate.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

An extreme rushing game script is indicated by the Lions being a huge 7-point favorite this week.

The Lions have called the 8th-fewest plays in football this year, averaging a mere 55.9 plays per game.

The Colts pass defense has excelled when opposing running backs have gotten into space, allowing an average of 7.08 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year: the 10th-fewest in the NFL.

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