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David Montgomery

David Montgomery Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 1

Detroit Lions vs Los Angeles Rams

David Montgomery Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-124/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ -122 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ -124.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The leading projections forecast the Lions to run the 4th-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 66.9 plays, based on their underlying traits and game dynamics.

The 5th-largest volume of plays in the NFL have been called by the Lions last year (a colossal 60.4 per game on average).

This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

The Los Angeles Rams defense has been a notorious pass funnel last year, causing opposing QBs to attempt the 5th-most passes in football (36.2 per game) last year.

When it comes to linebackers in pass coverage, Los Angeles's collection of LBs has been awful last year, profiling as the 2nd-worst in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This game's line implies a rushing game script for the Lions, who are favored by 3.5 points.

David Montgomery profiles as one of the most unreliable receivers in the league among running backs, hauling in just 73.0% of balls thrown his way (adjusted for context) last year, checking in at the 23rd percentile.

The Rams defense has surrendered the 2nd-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in the league (just 21.0) to running backs last year.

Last year, the imposing Los Angeles Rams pass defense has given up the least yards-after-the-catch in football to opposing running backs: a puny 6.9 YAC.

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