My Account Log Out

reorder

David Montgomery

David Montgomery Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 20

Detroit Lions vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

David Montgomery Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ +105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is forecasted by our trusted projection set to have just 128.8 offensive plays called: the fewest out of all the games this week.

The 8th-highest number of plays in football have been run by the Detroit Lions this year (a massive 59.7 per game on average).

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

The Buccaneers defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, leading opposing offenses to attempt the 10th-most passes in the league (34.7 per game) this year.

David Montgomery's 9.94 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this season indicates an impressive growth in his effectiveness in picking up extra yardage over last season's 8.3% mark.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Lions are a 6.5-point favorite in this week's game, likely leading to a running game script.

Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Lions to pass on 57.5% of their plays: the 2nd-lowest frequency on the slate this week.

David Montgomery has notched a feeble -2.0 air yards per game this year: just 17th percentile when it comes to RBs.

David Montgomery's 6.9 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that assesses high-value offensive involvement) has been notably worse this year than it was last year at 19.1.

David Montgomery has notched substantially fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (8.0) this year than he did last year (20.0).

More David Montgomery Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™