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David Montgomery

David Montgomery Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 19

Detroit Lions vs Los Angeles Rams

David Montgomery Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The model projects this game to see the 2nd-most plays run among all games this week at 133.1 plays, based on the play styles of each team and game dynamics.

The 5th-most plays in the league have been run by the Detroit Lions this year (a monstrous 60.4 per game on average).

The pass games of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may go down.

When it comes to pass-blocking (and the positive effect it has on all pass attack statistics), the O-line of the Lions profiles as the 10th-best in the league this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

A running game script is implied by the Lions being a 3-point favorite this week.

The leading projections forecast the Lions to be the 4th-least pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 58.5% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

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