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David Montgomery

David Montgomery Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 14

Chicago Bears vs Detroit Lions

David Montgomery Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (+115/-150).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ +130 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ +115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The 6th-largest volume of plays in the league have been run by the Lions this year (a staggering 60.9 per game on average).

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 39.8 pass attempts per game versus the Chicago Bears defense this year: 2nd-most in the league.

The Detroit offensive line profiles as the 2nd-best in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a strong influence on all pass attack stats across the board.

David Montgomery's skills in generating extra yardage have gotten a boost this season, averaging 13.33 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a measly 8.29 figure last season.

The Bears defense has allowed the most adjusted receiving yards per game in the NFL (59.0) versus RBs this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

A running game script is suggested by the Lions being a 3-point favorite in this week's contest.

The leading projections forecast the Lions to be the 9th-least pass-focused team on the slate this week with a 55.2% pass rate, accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Lions are expected by the predictive model to run just 62.4 total plays in this contest: the 3rd-fewest on the slate this week.

David Montgomery has been less involved as a potential pass-catcher this year (33.4% Route% in games he has played) than he did last year (56.7%).

David Montgomery has put up substantially fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (9.0) this season than he did last season (20.0).

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