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David Montgomery

David Montgomery Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 6

Chicago Bears vs Washington Commanders

David Montgomery Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-140/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -145 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -140.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects David Montgomery to garner 3.7 targets in this game, on average, ranking in the 85th percentile among running backs.

David Montgomery has been a big part of his team's passing offense, garnering a Target Share of 13.1% since the start of last season, which ranks him in the 94th percentile among RBs.

David Montgomery has been among the top running backs in the pass game this year, averaging a terrific 24.0 yards per game while checking in at the 83rd percentile.

David Montgomery's receiving reliability have gotten a boost this season, with his Completion% increasing from 86.8% to 89.8%.

David Montgomery's receiving efficiency has been refined this year, averaging 9.65 yards-per-target vs just 6.50 mark last year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Chicago Bears boast a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Luke Getsy, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 5.1% more towards rushing than it did last season (adjusted for context).

THE BLITZ projects the Chicago Bears as the least pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 45.6% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 4th-smallest volume of plays run among all games this week at 127.6 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Chicago Bears have called the least plays in the NFL this year, totaling a lowly 49.2 plays per game.

David Montgomery has accumulated a mere -1.0 air yards per game this year: just 22nd percentile among running backs.

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