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David Montgomery
NFL · Player Props
David Montgomery
RB · Chicago Bears
Receiving Yards
New York Jets vs Chicago Bears · Week 12, 2022 Updated Nov 28, 2022 12:11 AM UTC
NFL Props David Montgomery Receiving Yards

David Montgomery Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-118/-112).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 15.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 14.5 @ -112.

Favors Over
  • The Chicago Bears will be starting backup quarterback Trevor Siemian in this week's game, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.
  • The Bears are a 6.5-point underdog in this game, likely leading to a passing game script.
  • David Montgomery has run a route on 58.9% of his team's dropbacks this year, placing him in the 94th percentile among RBs.
  • THE BLITZ projects David Montgomery to accumulate 3.5 targets in this contest, on average, putting him in the 80th percentile among RBs.
  • David Montgomery has put up a colossal 4.0 air yards per game this year: 87th percentile among running backs. (That may not sound like a lot, but most RBs have negative air yards because they are targeted behind the line of scrimmage).
Favors Under
  • The Chicago Bears boast a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Luke Getsy, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 9.8% more towards rushing than it did last season (context-neutralized).
  • THE BLITZ projects the Chicago Bears as the 2nd-least pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 46.8% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Bears to run the 6th-least plays on offense among all teams this week with 62.5 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The Chicago Bears have run the 6th-least plays in the NFL this year, averaging just 55.6 plays per game.
  • The New York Jets pass defense has conceded the 5th-lowest Completion% in football (73.4%) to RBs this year (73.4%).
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