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David Montgomery

David Montgomery Carries
Player Prop Week 4

Detroit Lions vs Seattle Seahawks

David Montgomery Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 15.5 @ -122 before it was bet down to 14.5 @ +105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This game's spread implies a rushing game script for the Lions, who are favored by 6 points.

At the moment, the 9th-most run-focused team in the NFL (41.4% adjusted for context) according to the projections is the Detroit Lions.

The model projects the Detroit Lions to call the most plays on offense on the slate this week with 68.1 plays, based on their underlying traits and game dynamics.

The 2nd-highest number of plays in the league have been run by the Lions since the start of last season (a monstrous 61.2 per game on average).

The model projects David Montgomery to earn 15.9 rush attempts in this week's game, on balance, placing him in the 84th percentile when it comes to RBs.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The pass games of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (read: zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may decline.

As it relates to the defensive ends' role in run defense, Seattle's collection of DEs has been very good since the start of last season, profiling as the 4th-best in football.

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