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David Montgomery

David Montgomery Carries
Player Prop Week 3

Arizona Cardinals vs Detroit Lions

David Montgomery Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

A running game script is suggested by the Lions being a 4-point favorite in this week's game.

The Lions have run the 2nd-most plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling a whopping 61.2 plays per game.

David Montgomery has earned 48.3% of his team's carries this year, putting him in the 80th percentile among running backs.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The model projects this game to see the 4th-smallest number of plays run on the slate this week at 125.8 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The passing offenses of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (i.e. zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may go down.

When it comes to the safeties' role in run defense, Arizona's safety corps has been very good since the start of last season, projecting as the 4th-best in the league.

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