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David Montgomery Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-145/+115).
The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -145.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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A running game script is indicated by the Lions being a 6-point favorite in this game.The model projects the Detroit Lions to call the 6th-most total plays among all teams this week with 66.5 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.The 7th-most plays in the NFL have been called by the Detroit Lions since the start of last season (a massive 60.2 per game on average).Our trusted projections expect David Montgomery to total 14.0 carries in this contest, on balance, putting him in the 81st percentile when it comes to RBs.Among all running backs, David Montgomery ranks in the 89th percentile for carries since the start of last season, taking on 56.2% of the workload in his team's running game.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.When it comes to the safeties' role in run defense, Tampa Bay's group of safeties has been phenomenal since the start of last season, ranking as the 2nd-best in football.
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