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David Montgomery

David Montgomery Carries
Player Prop Week 13

Detroit Lions vs Chicago Bears

David Montgomery Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

With a 9.5-point advantage, the Lions are a huge favorite in this week's game, indicating much more of a focus on running than their usual game plan.

The predictive model expects the Lions to be the 8th-most run-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 44.4% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is projected by the projection model to see only 127.5 offensive plays called: the 5th-fewest among all games this week.

The pass games of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may slide.

After accounting for 56.4% of his offense's rushing play calls last season, David Montgomery has had a smaller role in the run game this season, now taking on only 45.8%.

The Bears safeties grade out as the best unit in football this year when it comes to defending the run.

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