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David Montgomery

David Montgomery Carries
Player Prop Week 12

Indianapolis Colts vs Detroit Lions

David Montgomery Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-118/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -106 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -118.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

An extreme rushing game script is indicated by the Lions being a huge 7-point favorite this week.

Accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Lions are anticipated by the projections to call 66.4 total plays in this game: the 6th-most on the slate this week.

Out of all running backs, David Montgomery grades out in the 83rd percentile for rush attempts this year, comprising 47.3% of the workload in his team's running game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Lions have called the 8th-fewest plays in football this year, averaging a mere 55.9 plays per game.

This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

As it relates to the defensive tackles' role in defending against the run, Indianapolis's group of DTs has been one of the most skilled this year, ranking as the 8th-best in the NFL.

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