David Montgomery Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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David Montgomery

NFL · Player Props

David Montgomery

RB · Detroit Lions

Carries

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Detroit Lions · Week 6, 2023

Updated Oct 15, 2023 7:31 PM EST

Analysis

David Montgomery Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 19.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 19.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

A rushing game script is suggested by the Lions being a 3-point favorite in this week's game.
Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Detroit Lions to run on 45.2% of their downs: the 6th-highest clip among all teams this week.
Our trusted projections expect the Lions to run the 8th-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 64.4 plays, accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics.
The model projects David Montgomery to garner 18.4 rush attempts in this week's game, on average, ranking in the 97th percentile among running backs.
After making up 39.4% of his team's rush attempts last year, David Montgomery has been more involved in the running game this year, now sitting at 69.5%.

Favors Under

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