David Montgomery Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 5

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David Montgomery

NFL · Player Props

David Montgomery

RB · Detroit Lions

Carries

Detroit Lions vs Carolina Panthers · Week 5, 2023

Updated Oct 8, 2023 4:01 PM UTC

Analysis

David Montgomery Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-108/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 18.5 @ -112 before it was bet up to 20.5 @ -108.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Lions are a giant 9.5-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating an extreme rushing game script.
Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Lions to run on 46.0% of their chances: the 4th-highest frequency on the slate this week.
The leading projections forecast the Lions to call the 8th-most total plays on the slate this week with 65.0 plays, given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.
The leading projections forecast David Montgomery to accrue 20.9 rush attempts this week, on average, ranking him in the 100th percentile among RBs.
David Montgomery has been a more integral piece of his offense's rushing attack this season (67.7% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (39.4%).

Favors Under

This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.

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