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David Montgomery

David Montgomery Carries
Player Prop Week 20

Detroit Lions vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

David Montgomery Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-125/-105).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Lions are a 6.5-point favorite in this week's game, likely leading to a running game script.

With a 41.4% rate of rushing the ball (adjusted for context) this year, the 7th-most run-oriented offense in the league has been the Lions.

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is forecasted by our trusted projection set to have just 128.8 offensive plays called: the fewest out of all the games this week.

The 8th-highest number of plays in football have been run by the Detroit Lions this year (a massive 59.7 per game on average).

After taking on 39.4% of his team's carries last season, David Montgomery has played a bigger part in the run game this season, currently comprising 56.0%.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

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