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David Montgomery

David Montgomery Carries
Player Prop Week 16

Minnesota Vikings vs Detroit Lions

David Montgomery Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (+105/-135).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Right now, the 10th-most run-oriented offense in the NFL (41.0% in a neutral context) according to the projections is the Lions.

Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Detroit Lions are forecasted by our trusted projection set to call 66.4 plays on offense in this game: the 7th-most among all teams this week.

The Lions have called the 8th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a staggering 60.4 plays per game.

In this game, David Montgomery is expected by our trusted projection set to rank in the 85th percentile when it comes to RBs with 15.2 rush attempts.

After comprising 39.4% of his offense's rush attempts last season, David Montgomery has been more involved in the ground game this season, now accounting for 58.3%.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The passing offenses of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (i.e. zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may decline.

The Minnesota defensive tackles project as the 4th-best unit in the league this year in regard to stopping the run.

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